Will Kate Green win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Kate Green win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?" is currently trading at 0.7% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 16 active participants. As of July 3, 2026, this market has generated $998 in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 0.7%, while "No" trades at 99.3%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $19.2K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 27 more days (until Jul 30, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.