Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?" is currently trading at 91.4% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 148 active participants. As of July 3, 2026, this market has generated $99.7K in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 91.4%, while "No" trades at 8.6%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** With $72.8K in available liquidity, traders can execute large positions with minimal price impact. The current bid-ask spread of 2.00% reflects good market depth and trading efficiency. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 28 more days (until Jul 31, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.