Skip to main content

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Yes Price
0.8%
Volume
$987
Liquidity
$2.6K
Spread: 1.10%
Traders
18
Active positions

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Current: 0.8% 15.4%2 data points
Yes Price
Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Market Analysis

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?" is currently trading at 0.8% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 18 active participants. As of July 4, 2026, this market has generated $987 in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 0.8%, while "No" trades at 99.3%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $2.6K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 180 more days (until Dec 31, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.

Market Details

Created
Jun 30, 2026
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Outcomes
Yes / No
Market ID
2746854
Last Updated
3d ago

Start Trading

Trade on the outcome of this event on Polymarket with low fees and high liquidity.

✓ Decentralized & transparent

✓ Low trading fees

✓ Instant settlement

Related Markets

Discover similar prediction markets

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes
100.0%
No
0.1%
Volume
$994.1K
Details

Colombia leading at halftime?

Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Volume
$100.0K
Details

Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?

Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%
Volume
$99.7K
Details

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes
80.5%
No
19.5%
Volume
$99.6K
Details

Ready to trade on this market?

Join thousands of traders on Polymarket and start betting on real-world events.