Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?" is currently trading at 91.0% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 19 active participants. As of July 26, 2026, this market has generated $999 in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 91.0%, while "No" trades at 9.0%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $824 in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 158 more days (until Dec 31, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.