Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?" is currently trading at 20.1% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 25 active participants. As of April 11, 2026, this market has generated $220 in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 20.1%, while "No" trades at 80.0%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $653 in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This market is approaching its resolution date and will close soon.