Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?" is currently trading at 16.5% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 21 active participants. As of February 28, 2026, this market has generated $16.2K in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 16.5%, while "No" trades at 83.5%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $2.6K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 364 more days (until Feb 28, 2027), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.