Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?" is currently trading at 5.5% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 34 active participants. As of July 9, 2026, this market has generated $9.9K in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 5.5%, while "No" trades at 94.5%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** With $68.6K in available liquidity, traders can execute large positions with minimal price impact. The current bid-ask spread of 1.00% reflects excellent market depth and trading efficiency. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 21 more days (until Jul 30, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.