Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?" is currently trading at 1.8% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 234 active participants. As of February 22, 2026, this market has generated $1.06M in total trading volume, making it one of the most actively traded prediction markets in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 1.8%, while "No" trades at 98.2%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $11.5K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This market is approaching its resolution date and will close soon.