Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?" is currently trading at 4.5% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 483 active participants. As of February 22, 2026, this market has generated $2.00M in total trading volume, making it one of the most actively traded prediction markets in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 4.5%, while "No" trades at 95.5%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $44.5K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This market is approaching its resolution date and will close soon.