Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?" is currently trading at 6.3% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 10 active participants. As of April 27, 2026, this market has generated $181 in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 6.3%, while "No" trades at 93.7%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $13.3K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 33 more days (until May 31, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.