Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?" is currently trading at 30.0% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 101 active participants. As of February 23, 2026, this market has generated $60.6K in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 30.0%, while "No" trades at 70.0%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $7.8K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 126 more days (until Jun 30, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.