Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" is currently trading at 10.5% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 1000 active participants. As of February 22, 2026, this market has generated $1.72M in total trading volume, making it one of the most actively traded prediction markets in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Yes" outcome is priced at 10.5%, while "No" trades at 89.5%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** With $309.7K in available liquidity, traders can execute large positions with minimal price impact. The current bid-ask spread of 1.00% reflects excellent market depth and trading efficiency. **Market Timeline** This prediction market will remain open for 229 more days (until Oct 10, 2026), providing ample time for price discovery as new information emerges.