S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4?

**Market Overview** The prediction market "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4?" is currently trading at 64.0% on Polymarket, reflecting real-time sentiment and odds from 84 active participants. As of August 4, 2026, this market has generated $10.0K in total trading volume, making it an emerging prediction market in the general category. **Current Odds & Price Action** The "Up" outcome is priced at 64.0%, while "Down" trades at 36.0%. The market has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, suggesting established consensus among traders about the likely outcome. **Liquidity & Trading Conditions** This market offers $11.1K in liquidity, suitable for retail-sized positions. **Market Timeline** This market is approaching its resolution date and will close soon.